SpaceX shares rose in early market trading Monday, extending gains from its record IPO debut after Elon Musk said the company could reach $1 trillion in annual revenue by the end of the decade.

Yahoo Finance data show the stock traded near $170, up about 6% from Friday’s close.

The move followed a strong first session in which SpaceX priced its initial public offering at $135 a share, opened at $150, and closed at $161.11, giving the company a market value of about $2.2 trillion.

The rally also spilled into crypto-linked derivatives tied to the stock. CoinGlass data show SpaceX futures volume climbed 140% to about $930 million, while open interest rose above $540 million.

The early market advance added fresh momentum to one of the most closely watched listings in years, underlining investor appetite for exposure to Musk’s rocket, satellite, and artificial intelligence company after the largest IPO on record.

Retail fuels SpaceX’s record IPO debut

SpaceX raised $75 billion on its first day of trading, making it the largest IPO on record and immediately placing the rocket, satellite, and artificial intelligence company among the most valuable publicly traded companies in the US.

The company’s market value of over $2 trillion put it behind Amazon, valued at about $2.54 trillion, and ahead of Broadcom, valued at about $1.81 trillion.

Available data shows that retail investors played a central role in that debut.

Vanda Research data shows that individual investors bought a net $93.8 million of SpaceX shares on Friday, the largest single-day net retail purchase for any IPO on record.

Moreover, SpaceX accounted for about 4% of all single-stock retail turnover that day, with net purchases more than 3.5 times those of Nvidia, the next most purchased stock.

Meanwhile, the listing also spilled into crypto markets, where traders used tokenized equity products and derivatives to gain exposure to the stock. This is particularly notable, given the challenges that marked the first trading day on some crypto trading platforms, such as Binance.

Still, CryptoQuant data showed strong activity across platforms that listed SpaceX-linked instruments. On Gate.com, trading volume for the tokenized SPCX ticker exceeded $100 million on its first day, compared with about $4 million for Circle and $3.5 million for Tesla on the same venue.

Equity-linked tokens on Gate.com typically generate daily volumes between $10 million and $25 million across the assets shown in the platform’s data. SpaceX’s first-day activity stood well above that range, showing the scale of demand among crypto-native traders.

The activity suggests tokenized equities are becoming a more visible outlet for major stock-market events. These products remain small compared with traditional equity markets, and their regulatory treatment varies by jurisdiction.

Still, the SpaceX debut showed that crypto traders are willing to use on-chain or exchange-based instruments to gain exposure to high-profile public companies without leaving digital asset venues.

Musk stretches the growth case

SpaceX’s rally gained further momentum after Musk posted on X over the weekend that the firm could generate $1 trillion in annual revenue by 2030. He added that he would be surprised if the company failed to exceed that level by 2031.

The projection gave investors a new benchmark for a stock already trading at one of the richest valuations in the public market. SpaceX reported about $18.7 billion in revenue in 2025, meaning Musk’s target would require revenue to increase more than 50-fold in roughly five years.

That forecast also sits well above some of the most optimistic Wall Street estimates. Morgan Stanley projects about $330 billion in revenue by 2030, meaning Musk’s figure is roughly three times that estimate.

Meanwhile, Brett Winton, chief futurist at Ark Invest, has taken a more aggressive long-term view, saying Starlink and Starshield could generate more than $1 trillion in excess cash through 2035 while reaching $400 billion in annualized earnings.

The wide gap between current revenue and those projections helps explain the debate around SpaceX’s valuation.

The company’s revenue base is large for an aerospace business, but still small compared with the market value now attached to the stock. Its 2025 revenue marked strong growth from the previous year, while first-quarter 2026 revenue came in around $4.69 billion.

The company, however, remained in the red as spending increased.

This means that investors backing the stock are betting that several businesses can scale at once. Starlink, SpaceX’s satellite broadband network, is the company’s largest near-term revenue driver. It has become a meaningful source of recurring sales and gives SpaceX a global consumer and enterprise product outside traditional launch services.

Starshield, its government-focused satellite communications unit, has also become part of the bullish case as demand for secure connectivity grows among defense and public-sector customers.

Starship carries the more speculative upside. The launch system is designed to reduce the cost of reaching orbit and support larger commercial, government, and scientific missions. SpaceX has framed it as central to future markets in space logistics, lunar operations, Mars development, and other forms of transport.

The company has also broadened its pitch around artificial intelligence, telecommunications, and space infrastructure.

Its prospectus placed the total addressable market for those ambitions at up to $28.5 trillion, a figure that includes several industries still in their early stages of development.

Those projections help explain the intensity of demand around the IPO. They also show how much of SpaceX’s valuation depends on businesses that must scale quickly, absorb heavy investment, and avoid major technical or regulatory setbacks.

Scrutiny emerges around SpaceX’s valuation

Meanwhile, SpaceX’s market momentum has also drawn warnings from analysts who say its valuation leaves little room for slower growth, higher costs, or delays in its major projects.

CFRA analysts cited SpaceX’s demanding growth assumptions, elevated valuation, and heavy capital needs as key reasons for their cautious view.

Those costs are already rising. SpaceX reported $10.1 billion in capital expenditures for the three months ended March, compared with $4.1 billion a year earlier. The increase reflected spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure, Starship development, and other long-term projects.

At the same time, profitability remains another pressure point. The company lost nearly $5 billion in 2025, while accumulated losses over the past several years are estimated at $50 billion.

SpaceX also warned in its prospectus that it may never become profitable, a disclosure that underlines how much spending may still be required before its biggest bets mature.

Henrik Zeberg, a macro analyst at Swissblock, said the market is treating SpaceX as one of the world’s most valuable companies despite its losses.

He compared the valuation with past periods of market excess and argued that investors are paying ahead for the earnings power the company has yet to prove.

According to him:

“There is no doubt! We have the largest Bubble ever. And it will burst. Not yet. Expect surge into final top…. But soon!”

Nonetheless, Wall Street’s early targets show little agreement on where the stock should trade.

Loop Capital has the highest target at $349, followed by Baird at $320 and Bernstein at $310. Oppenheimer set its target at $190, while New Street Research is at $165.

The average sits near $267, but the wide range reflects sharply different views on SpaceX’s future revenue, margins, and market opportunity.

To sustain the rally, SpaceX will need to show that its largest businesses can grow fast enough to support the price investors are paying. The market will be looking for updates on Starlink growth, Starship progress, government contracts, AI-related spending, and any sign that revenue is moving closer to Musk’s $1 trillion target.

For now, investors are paying a premium for access to a company that was out of reach in public markets for years. That premium could remain intact if SpaceX keeps expanding quickly, but it also leaves the stock exposed if costs rise faster than expected or its path to profitability takes longer than the market currently assumes.

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Bitcoin price started a fresh increase and cleared the $64,500 zone. BTC is consolidating and might aim for more gains above the $66,200 level.

• Bitcoin managed to stay above $62,500 and started a fresh increase.
• The price is trading above $64,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $64,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair might extend gains if it stays above the $65,500 and $66,200 levels.

Bitcoin Price Regains Strength

Bitcoin price found support near $60,800 and started a fresh increase. BTC gained pace for a move above the $61,500 and $63,200 resistance levels.

The bulls even pushed the price above $64,500. A high was formed at $65,847, and the price started a consolidation phase above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $60,746 swing low to the $65,847 high.

Bitcoin is now trading above $64,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a bullish trend line forming with support at $64,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

If the price remains stable above $64,500, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $65,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $66,200 level. A close above the $66,200 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $66,800 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $67,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $68,000.

Another Decline In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $66,200 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $64,650 level. The first major support is near the $64,200 level.

The next support is now near the $63,300 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $60,746 swing low to the $65,847 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $62,500 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $61,800, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $64,650, followed by $64,200.

Major Resistance Levels – $65,500 and $66,200.

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Crypto Trading Volume Has Seen A Notable Decline

In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the trading volume of crypto assets. The “trading volume” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of a given token that’s becoming involved in trading activity on the various centralized exchanges.

When the value of the metric rises, it means exchanges are observing increased activity surrounding the asset. Such a trend implies the token is attracting attention from traders. On the other hand, the indicator going down suggests investors may be losing interest in the market as they are participating in fewer trades on exchanges.

Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows how the trading volume of the different top-cap cryptos has changed over the last few years:

As displayed in the above graph, the trading volume peaked for the combined crypto sector back in mid-2025. Since then, the indicator has followed a downward trajectory for the various coins.

After the latest continuation of the downtrend, the crypto trading volume has declined to its lowest level since mid-2024. “Traders appear reluctant to aggressively buy or sell as macro uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and recent liquidations keep participants on the sidelines,” noted the analytics firm.

While the trend may look bearish at first glance, the past pattern could suggest otherwise for the market. “Historically, some of crypto’s strongest recoveries have emerged from periods when interest, volume, and participation were at their lowest,” explained Santiment. Considering this, it now remains to be seen how the sector will develop in the near future.

While crypto volume may have waned, the same hasn’t been true for adoption. As highlighted by the analytics firm in another X post, the Total Amount of Holders, an indicator tracking the total number of non-empty addresses present on a given network, has been climbing for the different top assets in recent years.

From the chart, it’s apparent that Ethereum is the crypto that has enjoyed the strongest adoption, with the Total Amount Of Holders sitting at 195 million. “While social media remains focused on $ETH’s underperformance, user adoption has continued moving in the opposite direction,” said Santiment.

Bitcoin Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $62,700, up 1.8% in the last 24 hours.

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After long years of muted performance, the XRP price had rebounded in 2024, pushing close to its $3.8 all-time high, but not quite hitting the mark. This comes after the legal battle with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) ended in 2024, triggering a wave of recovery.

Since then, though, the XRP price seems to have hit a ceiling and has been on a downtrend for over a year. This has pushed the price toward $1, an over 60% decline from its 2024 peaks. Despite this, predictions continue to pour in that the price moving above $10 is only a matter of time as XRP continues to be one of the most popular cryptocurrencies in the space.

The XRP Dream Has Changed From $1

Crypto analyst Crypto Patel took to the X (formerly Twitter) platform to explain where the investor mindset is sitting at now and how the dream seems to have changed. Pointing to historical performance, the analyst recalls how the dream was for XRP to actually reach $1 back when it was trading at around $0.003 back in 2017.

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However, in an interesting twist, the level that was the dream for every XRP holder back then has now become a level at which many are lamenting about. Instead of joining this train of complaint, though, Crypto Patel points out that even the current level is a major step up from where the XRP price used to be.

Sitting above $1 right now, it means that the XRP price has staged an over 37,000% rally from its lows. Thus, what is being seen as a decline could also be a cause for celebration, depending on the perspective that investors are looking at it from.

When To Start Buying Again

With the sentiment around the current level beating down investors, the crypto analyst is looking at lower levels to begin accumulating the cryptocurrency again. The highest accumulation zone from here sits at $1, which would be an over 10% decline from the price at the time of this report.

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Then moving further downward, the crypto analyst believes that the XRP price could fall as low as $0.6. This would then put the accumulation zone between $0.6 and $1, meaning that the bottom is expected to be reached around these two levels.

Nevertheless, the analyst says that the play for $10 remains intact even now. Mostly, it is a matter of time and patience when it comes to how high the XRP price could go. But the bullish narrative over the long-term continues to prevail.

Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

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XRP has spent much of 2026 trading below the targets often discussed across its community, but one XRP commentator is saying that projections to these price targets are being viewed through the wrong lens. The analyst claims that XRP should not be measured like a traditional stock, especially if the asset functions as it is designed and it becomes tied to institutional settlement, liquidity routing, and high-value financial transfers.

XRP Commentator Says Market Cap Logic Misses The Point

Most XRP price discussions are based on market cap comparisons and circulating supply figures, which are the same models used to analyze stocks. However, according to an XRP commentator account known as CharuSan, this is a stagnant market cap logic being applied to XRP since it fundamentally misunderstands what the cryptocurrency was built to do.

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XRP is meant to play as a liquidity and velocity asset; therefore, the cryptocurrency’s price should not rise only because investors are buying it on exchanges. Instead, the projection is that XRP’s price will need to be much pushed higher if institutional systems begin using it as a bridge asset for massive transfers that demand deep liquidity within seconds.

Furthermore, CharuSan XRP pointed to the size of global derivatives, stock markets, debt markets, DTCC volumes, FX settlement, banks, OTC markets, and Nostro/Vostro accounts as areas where liquidity demand could come from if they are fully integrated with the XRP Ledger. Therefore, a $500 billion or $1 trillion market cap would still be too small if XRP were expected to support these institutional trading volumes.

XRP Needs To Be $300 At Least

The price target floated by the analyst is that XRP will be mathematically forced to skyrocket to $300 in order to keep the wheels running. Notably, the $300 prediction is tied to a specific condition of full integration of XRP into major financial transfer systems. Once institutional automated software and APIs begin sending large transfer orders into liquidity pools, the market will no longer be guided mainly by small exchange buy and sell orders.

Based on that setup, the main issue would be the amount of available XRP at the exact moment a transfer needs to be completed. If billions of dollars are moving per second, institutions will not search for cheap XRP sitting on a normal order book. The systems would draw from the deepest available liquidity pool, and the unit price would need to rise if available supply cannot support the transfer volume.

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Interestingly, the latest post is part of a series from CharuSan XRP on how XRP could reach $300. In the previous part, he focused more directly on On-Demand Liquidity and the difference between circulating supply and truly available XRP. He gave the example of a $200 billion bank transfer.

If XRP were priced at $20, such a transfer would require 10 billion XRP, which would be difficult to support if the system were handling not just one bank but thousands of banks and institutions at the same time. RippleNet currently has over 300 banking partners, and about 40% are actively using On-Demand Liquidity.

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

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